Prediction of war

John Keegan is predicting a resumption of hostilities between Israel and Hizbollah 'probably before the year is out':

There will soon be another war in the Middle East, this time a renewal of the conflict between the Israel Defence Force (IDF) and Hizbollah. The conflict is inevitable and unavoidable. It will come about because Israel cannot tolerate the rebuilding of Hizbollah's fortified zone in south Lebanon, from which last year it launched its missile bombardment of northern Israel.

Hizbollah has now reconstructed the fortified zone and is replenishing its stocks of missiles there. Hamas is also creating a fortified zone in the Gaza Strip and building up its stocks of missiles. Israel, therefore, faces missile attack on two fronts. When the Israel general staff decides the threat has become intolerable, it will strike.

Keegan argues that Israel suffered no defeat in Lebanon, merely a setback; that this was due to Hizbollah's underground tunnel system; and that the IDF won't be able to accept its remaining in place.

If Hizbollah has 'reconstructed the fortified zone and is replenishing its stocks of missiles', doesn't this breach the terms of the ceasefire? (Thanks: the KP.)