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March 31, 2008

Hope and madness in Zimbabwe

> 'It started as a whisper, and then became a shout.' Catherine Philp reports from Bulawayo.

> Chris McGreal: 'The victory of the opposition candidate, Morgan Tsvangirai, appears to be so clear that the numbers cannot so easily be fixed.'

> Zimbabwean Basildon Peta: 'I am convinced the end has finally come for the Zimbabwean President after 28 years of misrule'; but 'It is unlikely to be a smooth transition'.

> The tenor of these reports matches an email I've had today from a contact inside Zimbabwe: 'Available data show Tsvangirai with a more than 50% victory in the first round. I was an official observer in Gutu south in Masvingo, and Tsvangirai took over 60% of the vote there (traditionally a ZANU stronghold). ZEC is delaying announcing results but I think there is too much documentary evidence already out for ZANU to rig/steal it again - and the margins of MDC victory are too big.'

> '"The wave of change was too strong," said one shocked ruling ZANU-PF politician who lost office, speaking on condition of anonymity. He said conditions in the ruling party were extremely tense.' I'll bet they are.

> Finally, how power can drive a person crazy: 'Within me, there is a charitable disposition towards others'; 'I don't make enemies, no... I make no enemies'; 'a forgiving person'; 'we've got to translate our political freedom into economic freedom'; 'no regrets'. Who can this be?

Feline electioneering

Cats for Obama - that's not cool cats or even hep cats, but just plain furry cats - are here. I like the settled wisdom of Leo from Antioch, CA. (Via: Marbury.)

Another Blair failure

No Good Boyo tells of meeting the man who nearly shot George Orwell.

Dying for the results

In view of those figures just given, you may need to be told not to take this headline from The Zimbabwean too literally:

Curiosity killing Zimbabweans as ZEC withholds election results
Church and civil society organizations in Zimbabwe have expressed their concern at the delayed results:
"The failure by ZEC [the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission] to announce the results gives reasons to Zimbabweans to suspect that the electoral process is being manipulated by the incumbent and Zanu PF. The people of Zimbabwe have the right to the results immediately," stated the Save Zimbabwe Campaign.
The opposition MDC claims a commanding lead. Government spokesmen call this 'speculation and lies'. There are fears of a possible coup. The first results announced are being posted by Sokwanele.

The achievements of Robert Mugabe

This piece assembles some of the indices of Zimbabwe's economic meltdown. A couple of highlights:

Average life expectancy dropped from 63 years in 1990 to 37.3 years in 2005, according to World Bank and U.N. figures.
.....
The World Food Program says 83 percent of Zimbabweans live on less than $2 per day and that 45 percent of the population are malnourished.
I'm no statistician, so please excuse me for any error in reasoning here (and correct it if need be), but Mugabe's government appears to have stolen an average of 25 years of life per person from the population of Zimbabwe - stolen them and thrown them away. This is now a country nearly half of whose people are malnourished. (Via Memeorandum.)

A senseless, immoral policy

As the world waits to see how things will turn out in Zimbabwe, I draw your attention to this eloquent piece in The Times (of Johannesburg) by Justice Malala. Malala evokes the sorry history of Zimbabwe's decline and then turns the spotlight on South Africa's role:

At this point our children will ask the teacher (perhaps a Zimbabwean who is a naturalised South African): "But what did our parents do? What did South Africa say when all this was happening?"

And our children will learn that for nine years the president of South Africa pursued a senseless, immoral policy of "quiet diplomacy".

In essence, the policy meant that South Africa chose to be friends with Mugabe, aiding and abetting the dictator while desperate Zimbabweans fled torture and imprisonment.

They will learn that Nelson Mandela, the iconic first president of the new and democratic South Africa, spoke out about leaders who clung to power at the expense of their people and was told to shut up; that Archbishop emeritus Desmond Tutu spoke up and was vilified by the dictator Mugabe, the South African presidency and its acolytes.

Plain words. (Via Jeff.)

March 30, 2008

Universal quiche and harmony?

In today's Observer Jason Burke puts up an idea for inspection:

The dinner party theory of conflict prevention runs like this: the world is getting richer, hundreds of millions of people are being borne up the social ladder by unprecedented global economic growth and as they get wealthier, these new planetary middle-class masses are inevitably going to become more like nice, educated, reasonable, middle-class people elsewhere - i.e. here. In short, they become the sort of people you'd invite to dinner.
Burke then proceeds to knock the idea down. His main point is that, even with additional wealth, people can remain fiercely attached to national and other communities, and this gives identity politics an enduring power over tendencies towards behaving rationally and harmoniously. In elaborating the point, he refers to cases where the middle class lines up behind what you might think of as not-so-nice values, and he concludes:
There are innumerable examples of people causing harm - to themselves as well as others - simply out of a bloody-minded desire to cling to what they believe defines them.
I have no quarrel with what Burke says. The comment I would like to add is only about the premise from which he begins. It is an extraordinary one: that middle-class people, as an entire social category, are politically 'nice' and 'reasonable'. The middle classes have certainly been responsible for much that is good in this world; however, as a generalized assumption, the political niceness one is a non-starter. It doesn't square with historical or recent experience. In significant numbers the middle classes have put themselves behind the politics of fascism (in 20th century Europe), the politics of military repression (Chile 1973), the politics of selfishness (Thatcherism) and the politics of apologia (this one far and wide, including here and now). If you move amongst the middle classes, you only have to use your eyes and ears to know that, just like any other kind of people, they are not invariably 'nice'. Or spend some time on the internet. I'm aware that it's not only the middle classes that inhabit it, but they do play a prominent part. And there seems to be enough anger, pride and envy there, as well as pettiness, abusiveness, stupidity, hatred and malice - not to extend the list any further - to go quite comfortably around. This is because the internet is part of the world; behind every electronic voice is a pair of hands attached to a body that walks amongst other human bodies.

The beginning of wisdom here is, in any case, an understanding that people sometimes behave badly (and - worse than badly - cruelly) just because they can. It's the ineradicable downside of human freedom.

Portrait of the Union as an Old Stalker (by Eve Garrard)

Hard though it may be to believe, the University and College Union (UCU) is trying once again to boycott Israeli academics. There are several reasons why it's hard to credit this, including the fact that in previous boycott attempts it's become obvious that a boycott would never have got the support of the membership, which is no doubt why the pro-boycotters so adamantly resisted a union ballot on the topic. There's also the fact that the union has spent thousands and thousands of pounds on these failed attempts, at a time when it urgently needs to devote its resources to normal union matters such as pay levels, redundancies, and questions of bullying and harassment. A substantial part of that cost has gone towards paying for legal advice about the legitimacy of a boycott, advice which said that a boycott was liable to breach UK anti-discrimination law. (This was enough to make the union drop the previous boycott proposal last September, although it now looks as if it's regretting this acknowledgement of its obligations under anti-discrimination law - on which point see Shalom Lappin here.) It's been glaringly obvious for quite some time that boycott proposals tear the union apart and risk exposing it to financial disaster. And still they do it, again and again.

What is it that drives them, in a world full of far greater horrors than the Israeli-Palestinian conflict? Why is it that the National Executive Committee of the union can't be satisfied unless they've ostracized and demonized and punished Israel, alone among all the nations of the world? What is it that has led the union's General Secretary, and even more ostentatiously its President, to renege on the anti-boycott platform which they campaigned on and which got them elected?

It may be tempting to think that this is just straightforward racism, that the only explanation for this glaring exceptionalism with respect to Israel is that the union pro-boycotters have here a chance to revile and demonize Jews, an opportunity not provided by the other and more dreadful catastrophes which fill our daily news. No doubt the shadow of anti-Semitism does hang over the boycott proposals considered as an institutional practice, whatever the motives of individual boycotters. But when we examine the actual words and practices of the boycott supporters, something rather different may come to mind. In their perverted use of Nazi comparisons, in their determined silence about the war crimes and crimes against humanity which have been committed against Israelis, and in their obsessional demand that the union should pursue the boycott at the expense of its own efficacy, its cohesiveness, its financial solvency, and its respect for anti-discrimination law, then perhaps what we hear is not so much the whisper of the closet anti-Semite as the rustle of the dirty raincoat - the repetitive, harassing, creepy sound of the stalker.

Consider some of the pro-boycotters' claims in the light of what Wikipedia says about stalkers:

Stalkers will often denigrate their victims [see the repeated and lip-licking comparison of Israelis with Nazis] which reduces the victims to objects [see the false claim that the boycott is of universities not of individuals; see also the lightminded dismissal of academic freedom]. This allows stalkers to feel angry at victims [see claims about the sinister power of the 'Zionist lobby' which allegedly silences its adversaries; see also the charge that Israelis are colonialists and settlers, with no mention made of just what many of these people were fleeing from when they came to Israel] without experiencing empathy [see the total silence about the war crimes and crimes against humanity committed against Israelis, and the genocidal threats made by Israel's enemies], or they may feel that they are entitled to behave as they please toward the victims [see the claim that criticism of Israel can't be anti-Semitic; see also the kind of discrimination against individual Israeli academics and students shown by Andrew Wilkie and Mona Baker]. Viewing victims as "lesser," "weak" or otherwise seriously flawed [see the charge that Jewish nationalism is illegitimate, and that Zionism is racist] can support delusions that the victims need.. to be rescued [see Jacqueline Rose's purported psychoanalysis of Israel], or punished [see the boycott movement passim], by the stalkers. Stalkers may slander or defame the character of their victims [see claims that Israel is an 'apartheid state', and suggestions that it attempts to commit genocide against Palestinians] which may isolate the victims [see the stated aim of the boycott movement] and give the stalkers more control or a feeling of power.
In its repetitive, heavy-breathing insistence that Israel represents so special an evil in the world that it is uniquely in need of punishment, the union pro-boycott group (which now includes its National Executive Committee) increasingly resembles the flushed and prurient stalker, with his inability to leave the object of his engrossing hostility alone, no matter what the damage to himself or others. Unfortunately attempts to reason with stalkers, and point out to them the facts of the matter, are notoriously ineffective - their paranoid ability to re-interpret the evidence to bring it closer to their heart's dark and punitive compulsions always outruns the best resources of rationality. Direct argument against the boycott will no doubt continue, not in the hope of convincing the boycotters, but for the sake of the generality of union members - the case for this bigoted proposal should not be allowed to go through by default. But other political and legal strategies will have to be considered for deployment against the collapse of liberal values, including common honesty, in the Executive of what was once a respectable professional union. (Eve Garrard)

March 29, 2008

The Momma 'n' Daddy Collection 96

STOP. LOOK. LISTEN. I'm wise to your ways. Whenever you spot one of these Momma 'n' Daddy posts, you think, 'Oh, I'll just skip over that'. You have no interest in country music, and in the M&D genre even less. Well, I'm a tolerant sort of guy, and so I allow you your omissions. But you cannot blame me if now and again I try to broaden your horizons. That is what I'm doing today.

Just give it a chance for once. It's the truly remarkable Lyle Lovett, and I'll put the YouTube version of his song upfront. Give it a go. It's a lovely song: 'South Texas Girl'. Here's the lyric:

Three in the front seat, they sat on each side
That green-and-white '58 Fairlane it would glide
Down farm roads past open fields seeming like no big deal
As it was happening I never felt a thing

But now looking back, it seems like it was everything
Singing with Mom just so we could hear ourselves sing
Stealing a drink from the cold can in Daddy's lap
Protected by only a small thin brown paper sack

And the wind blew the echoes of long-faded voices
And they'd sing me a song that the old cowboys sang
And I didn't know what the words meant or anything
I was just singing because I was supposed to

Sing Mother Maria watch over us please
As we wander around in this dangerous world
Thank Mother Maria, there's nothing so sweet
As the undying love of a South Texas girl

And with the windows wide open it felt hot to us anyway
Three bound together on a day just like any day
They told me and taught me and showed me and bought me
Whatever I wanted from the corner U-tote-M

They said the name Corpus Christi means the body of Jesus
Pronounce it Refugio, city folks they don't know
It looks like Palacios but sounds like Palashes
Just listen the next time you're watchin' Sid Lasher

And the wind blew the echoes of long-faded voices
And they would sing me a song that the old cowboys sang
And I didn't know what the words meant or anything
I was just singing

Saint Mother Maria watch over us please
As we wander around in this dangerous world
Thank Mother Maria there's nothing so sweet
As the undying love of a South Texas girl

And I didn't know what the words meant or anything
I was just singing...

And these days with car seats and open container laws
Social correctness leaves no room for Santa Claus
Sitting right next to me she looks like that used to be
Song that they sang for me

And with the windows wide open it feels hot to us anyway
Two bound together on a day just like any day
The wind blows the echoes of long-faded voices
And they sing us a song that the old cowboys sang
And now that I know what the words mean and everything
I am still singing

Saint Mother Maria watch over us please
As we wander around in this dangerous world
Thank Mother Maria there's nothing so sweet
As the undying love of a South Texas girl

Saint Mother Maria watch over us please
As we stumble around in this dangerous world
Thank Mother Maria there's nothing so sweet
As the undying love of a South Texas girl
As the undying love of a South Texas girl

You'll have gathered that, as well as Mom and Dad, there's another figure of importance for the singer, possibly foreshadowing a new M&D experience. If you tried and weren't impressed by that, sorry. There's some background about the song here (scroll down).


[The Momma 'n' Daddy Archive, containing all the details of the series, is here.]

Mugabe's 10-point lead

With a once prosperous country now ruined and hunger widespread there, and the rate of inflation by some estimates at 200,000 percent and rising, one might imagine that Robert Mugabe is on course to lose the election in Zimbabwe this weekend - especially since, as he is reported to be insisting, the election will be fair. Here are ten reasons for doubting this.
That's me, that is. If you want to read the whole thing, here you go.


While we're on the subject, a piece about the current state of Zimbabwe's Jewish community contains the following bit of political gossip:

Eric Bloch, a chartered accountant in Bulawayo, is a prominent economic analyst with wide connections in political circles. He counts South African President Thabo Mbeki among his personal friends. When we met six weeks ago, he was upbeat about the prospects for change.

"Mugabe wants to stay in power, but his bigger desire is to stay alive with his ill-gotten gains and ego intact. He's agreed in negotiations with Mbeki that he'll resign within four months of the election," Bloch said.

Bloch said that if Mugabe does not resign, he may face arrest and trial at the International Criminal Court.

There are those who say that 'Bloch's predictions have not always panned out'.

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