[M]uch of the time, we have all been plain wrong... It was gloriously humiliating...Michael Tomasky:
The truth is that far too much of what we have said and written about New Hampshire has simply been the recycling of assumptions and prejudices, rather than the reporting of facts or even the exercise of acumen or wisdom.
[I]n the space of just 24 hours - a huge number of voters, thousands of them, changed their minds. Why?Andrew Sullivan:
I think it was mostly a rebellion by women voters against the media. Most major media outlets had written Clinton's obituary and could barely conceal their joy in doing so. And voters, especially women voters, said: not so fast.
[T]he media piled on too much at the end and there was a voter backlash; independents may have assumed an Obama victory and went for McCain instead; the Democratic base responded to the Clinton appeal, especially women and urban voters; the youth vote didn't quite turn out as well as it should have; Clinton for the first time looked vulnerable and even human in the final days - and that helped; her final debate performance was also excellent.The New York Times:
[W]omen in New Hampshire did what they did not do in Iowa: rally behind her. Women supported her by 47 percent to 34 percent, according to a survey of voters leaving the polls...The Caucus blog:
The next two contests for Democrats - the Nevada caucuses and the South Carolina primary - are being fought on challenging terrain for Mrs. Clinton. In Nevada, the powerful union of culinary workers is expected to put its muscle behind Mr. Obama. The South Carolina electorate is expected to be about 50 percent African-American, a group that has supported both Clintons but that Mr. Obama is competing fiercely to win.
This may lead to speculation that in a secret ballot, white voters will not vote for an African American. In Iowa, which Mr. Obama won, the caucuses are public.And see here and here on 'The Bradley Effect'. And here for the question 'How wrong were the polls?'
No one is talking about how the polls actually nailed Obama's number. Obama didn't lose this election. He stayed steady and Hillary surged ahead.Hillary: yesterday, today - and tomorrow?